May 29, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Francisco Trinaldo's 3-fight experience advantage (10 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francisco Trinaldo for the expected result. Had Norman Parke pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 184 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Francisco Trinaldo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 191 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 31 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 135 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -46 |
Francisco Trinaldo controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 31 total strikes, 66 vs 25 significant strikes. Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 6:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 107 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Francisco Trinaldo did not secure a significant ground advantage against Norman Parke on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:46 of control time, 4 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 132 |
| Activity ELO | 1 198 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -19 |
Francisco Trinaldo demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this activity level, while Norman Parke's 132-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 097 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Francisco Trinaldo extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Norman Parke is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Francisco Trinaldo | Norman Parke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 076 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.