Francisco Trinaldo vs Paul Felder

September 23, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1247
(+26)
Francisco Trinaldo
Winner: Francisco Trinaldo
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Round 3 • 2:25

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francisco Trinaldo+26
Paul Felder-21
1103
(-21)
Paul Felder

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +28Paul Felder: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoPaul Felder
Total UFC Fights147
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 2081 113
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo's 7-fight experience advantage (14 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francisco Trinaldo for the expected result. Had Paul Felder pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +16Paul Felder: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoPaul Felder
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1471 030
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +17Paul Felder: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoPaul Felder
Fight OutcomeTKO - Doctor's StoppageTKO - Doctor's Stoppage
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:252:25
Win Type ELO1 3381 183
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +15Paul Felder: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoPaul Felder
Significant Strikes Landed3233
Significant Strikes Attempted6784
Total Strikes Landed4238
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2951 141
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 47.8% vs 39.3% accuracy. Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +52Paul Felder: -52

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoPaul Felder
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time4:220:27
Ground Strikes Landed51
Ground ELO1 2641 126
ELO Change+52-52
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo controlled Paul Felder on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:22 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +25Paul Felder: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoPaul Felder
Days Since Last Fight133118
Activity ELO1 3401 149
ELO Change+25-12
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Felder's 118-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +39Paul Felder: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoPaul Felder
Win Streak70
Win Streak ELO1 2331 051
ELO Change+39-14
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What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Paul Felder's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +16Paul Felder: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoPaul Felder
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1471 030
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.