Francisco Trinaldo vs Randy Brown

September 30, 2022

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1221
(-32)
Francisco Trinaldo
Winner: Randy Brown
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francisco Trinaldo-32
Randy Brown+40
1252
(+40)
Randy Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -36Randy Brown: +64

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoRandy Brown
Total UFC Fights2614
Experience Gap12-12
Experience ELO1 2111 265
ELO Change-36+64
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What Happened

Randy Brown overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (14 vs 26 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Francisco Trinaldo.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -24Randy Brown: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoRandy Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1401 130
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -41Randy Brown: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoRandy Brown
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3061 398
ELO Change-41+41
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What Happened

Randy Brown earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -50Randy Brown: +50

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoRandy Brown
Significant Strikes Landed4060
Significant Strikes Attempted67141
Total Strikes Landed8265
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 2011 351
ELO Change-50+50
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 60 vs 40 significant strikes, 42.6% vs 59.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Randy Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -19Randy Brown: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoRandy Brown
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted41
Ground Control Time5:210:38
Ground Strikes Landed74
Ground ELO1 2281 295
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -30Randy Brown: +60

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoRandy Brown
Days Since Last Fight147147
Activity ELO1 3361 271
ELO Change-30+60
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Randy Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Francisco Trinaldo's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -27Randy Brown: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoRandy Brown
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO1 2071 173
ELO Change-27+37
💡

What Happened

Randy Brown extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Francisco Trinaldo is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: -24Randy Brown: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoRandy Brown
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1401 130
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.