Francisco Trinaldo vs Yancy Medeiros

May 13, 2016

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1221
(+25)
Francisco Trinaldo
Winner: Francisco Trinaldo
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Francisco Trinaldo+25
Yancy Medeiros-20
1051
(-20)
Yancy Medeiros

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +23Yancy Medeiros: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoYancy Medeiros
Total UFC Fights138
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 1801 037
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo's 5-fight experience advantage (13 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Francisco Trinaldo for the expected result. Had Yancy Medeiros pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +16Yancy Medeiros: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoYancy Medeiros
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1311 007
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +23Yancy Medeiros: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoYancy Medeiros
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3211 106
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +25Yancy Medeiros: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoYancy Medeiros
Significant Strikes Landed11751
Significant Strikes Attempted175163
Total Strikes Landed14371
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 2801 078
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo dominated the striking exchanges with 143 vs 71 total strikes, 117 vs 51 significant strikes, 66.9% vs 31.3% accuracy. Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +31Yancy Medeiros: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoYancy Medeiros
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted41
Ground Control Time3:311:35
Ground Strikes Landed108
Ground ELO1 2121 066
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo edged out Yancy Medeiros on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:31 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +26Yancy Medeiros: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoYancy Medeiros
Days Since Last Fight118154
Activity ELO1 3151 084
ELO Change+26-10
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo demonstrated solid activity levels with 118 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Francisco Trinaldo capitalized on this activity level, while Yancy Medeiros's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +33Yancy Medeiros: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoYancy Medeiros
Win Streak60
Win Streak ELO1 1941 023
ELO Change+33-14
💡

What Happened

Francisco Trinaldo continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Yancy Medeiros's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Francisco Trinaldo: +16Yancy Medeiros: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricFrancisco TrinaldoYancy Medeiros
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1311 007
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.