September 7, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frank Camacho | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 961 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Geoff Neal overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Frank Camacho.
| Metric | Frank Camacho | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frank Camacho | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:23 | 1:23 |
| Win Type ELO | 934 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +63 |
Geoff Neal gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Camacho | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 57 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 62 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 865 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -123 | +123 |
Geoff Neal dominated the striking exchanges with 62 vs 33 total strikes, 59 vs 25 significant strikes, 57.8% vs 43.9% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Geoff Neal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frank Camacho | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 935 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Geoff Neal landed 2 knockdowns followed by 7 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Frank Camacho | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | 202 |
| Activity ELO | 985 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +25 |
Geoff Neal demonstrated standard activity with 202 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Geoff Neal capitalized on this activity level, while Frank Camacho's 224-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Camacho | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 968 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Geoff Neal extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frank Camacho is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frank Camacho | Geoff Neal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.