June 19, 2009
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frank Lester | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Frank Lester | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frank Lester | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:40 | 3:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +69 |
Nick Osipczak earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Frank Lester | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 964 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Nick Osipczak slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 14 vs 8 significant strikes, 46.7% vs 36.4% accuracy. Nick Osipczak capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frank Lester | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 2:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 936 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Nick Osipczak controlled Frank Lester on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:20 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Frank Lester | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Nick Osipczak demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Nick Osipczak capitalized on this activity level, while Frank Lester's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Lester | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Nick Osipczak started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frank Lester is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frank Lester | Nick Osipczak |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.