August 30, 2013
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frank Mir | Josh Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 16 | -16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 003 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +47 |
Josh Barnett overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Frank Mir.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Josh Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 102 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Josh Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:56 | 1:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 300 | 1 445 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +100 |
Josh Barnett earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Josh Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 109 | 1 378 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Josh Barnett controlled the striking exchanges with 26 vs 9 significant strikes, 68.4% vs 56.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Josh Barnett capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Josh Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 177 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Josh Barnett did not secure a significant ground advantage against Frank Mir on the ground with 1:11 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Josh Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 4 180 |
| Activity ELO | 1 162 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +20 |
Josh Barnett demonstrated extended layoff with 4180 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Josh Barnett capitalized on this activity level, while Frank Mir's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Josh Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 104 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +32 |
Josh Barnett extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frank Mir is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Josh Barnett |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 067 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.