February 3, 2006
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frank Mir | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 106 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +60 |
Marcio Cruz overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Frank Mir.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 123 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:10 | 4:10 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 295 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +153 |
Marcio Cruz earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:10, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 72 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 014 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -153 | +153 |
Marcio Cruz dominated the striking exchanges with 72 vs 6 total strikes, 31 vs 3 significant strikes, 70.5% vs 50.0% accuracy. Marcio Cruz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 3:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 30 |
| Ground ELO | 1 079 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Marcio Cruz controlled Frank Mir on the ground with 1 takedown, 3:37 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 596 | 121 |
| Activity ELO | 1 149 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +60 |
Marcio Cruz demonstrated solid activity levels with 121 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marcio Cruz capitalized on this activity level, while Frank Mir's 596-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 093 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +32 |
Marcio Cruz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frank Mir is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Marcio Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.