September 24, 2010
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frank Mir | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 152 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Frank Mir's 9-fight experience advantage (17 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frank Mir for the expected result. Had Mirko Filipovic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 139 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:02 | 4:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 379 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -24 |
Frank Mir gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 215 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -108 |
Frank Mir controlled the striking exchanges with 25 vs 19 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Frank Mir capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:29 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 188 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Frank Mir slightly outworked Mirko Filipovic on the ground with 4:29 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 200 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -15 |
Frank Mir demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Frank Mir capitalized on this activity level, while Mirko Filipovic's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 131 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -17 |
Frank Mir started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mirko Filipovic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 103 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.