March 26, 2010
UFC Interim Heavyweight Title Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frank Mir | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 126 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +58 |
Shane Carwin overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Frank Mir.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 124 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:48 | 3:48 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 330 | 1 424 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +106 |
Shane Carwin earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:48, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 63 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 107 | 1 438 |
| ELO Change | -176 | +176 |
Shane Carwin dominated the striking exchanges with 74 vs 3 total strikes, 49 vs 3 significant strikes, 77.8% vs 30.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Shane Carwin capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 2:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 157 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Shane Carwin controlled Frank Mir on the ground with 2:33 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 385 |
| Activity ELO | 1 181 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +24 |
Shane Carwin demonstrated extended layoff with 385 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Shane Carwin capitalized on this activity level, while Frank Mir's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 113 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +34 |
Shane Carwin extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frank Mir is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Shane Carwin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 086 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.