June 18, 2004
UFC Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frank Mir | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 149 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Frank Mir's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frank Mir for the expected result. Had Tim Sylvia pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 152 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -26 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Frank Mir captured the UFC Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:50 | 0:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 366 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -49 |
Frank Mir locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:50 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 167 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Frank Mir slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 100.0% vs 40.0% accuracy. Frank Mir capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 185 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 267 |
| Activity ELO | 1 179 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -19 |
Frank Mir demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Frank Mir capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Sylvia's 267-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 120 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -20 |
Frank Mir extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Sylvia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frank Mir | Tim Sylvia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 095 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.