October 15, 1998
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frank Shamrock | John Lober |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 146 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Frank Shamrock's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frank Shamrock for the expected result. Had John Lober pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Frank Shamrock | John Lober |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 203 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -12 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Frank Shamrock captured the UFC Light Heavyweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Frank Shamrock | John Lober |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 7:40 | 7:40 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 277 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -16 |
Frank Shamrock earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 7:40, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Frank Shamrock | John Lober |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 220 | 919 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Frank Shamrock dominated the striking exchanges with 55 vs 11 total strikes, 23 vs 4 significant strikes, 69.7% vs 36.4% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Frank Shamrock capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frank Shamrock | John Lober |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 183 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Frank Shamrock controlled John Lober on the ground with 0 takedowns, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Frank Shamrock | John Lober |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 160 | 987 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -13 |
Frank Shamrock demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Frank Shamrock capitalized on this activity level, while John Lober's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frank Shamrock | John Lober |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 095 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -17 |
Frank Shamrock extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Lober is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frank Shamrock | John Lober |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 079 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.