April 1, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 105 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +38 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 136 | 1 223 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Gray Maynard earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 65 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 27 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 177 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Frankie Edgar controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (26 vs 19). However, since Frankie Edgar lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gray Maynard's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:31 | 6:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 106 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | -140 | +140 |
Gray Maynard dominated Frankie Edgar on the ground with 9 vs 1 takedowns, 6:18 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 137 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 087 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +64 |
Gray Maynard demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Gray Maynard capitalized on this activity level, while Frankie Edgar's 137-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 054 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Gray Maynard extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frankie Edgar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.