October 7, 2011
UFC Lightweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 327 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (11 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 322 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -15 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Frankie Edgar captured the UFC Lightweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 3:54 | 3:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 471 | 1 322 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -38 |
Frankie Edgar gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 61 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 176 | 170 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 52 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 462 | 1 266 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Frankie Edgar controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 42 significant strikes, 34.7% vs 24.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Frankie Edgar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:15 | 0:16 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 524 | 1 493 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Frankie Edgar landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 280 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 316 | 1 304 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Frankie Edgar demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Frankie Edgar capitalized on this activity level, while Gray Maynard's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 240 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -26 |
Frankie Edgar started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gray Maynard is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Gray Maynard |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 191 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.