July 6, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 094 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:55 | 4:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 129 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -36 |
Frankie Edgar earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:55, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 54 | 38 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 11 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 126 | 915 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -85 |
Frankie Edgar controlled the striking exchanges with 53 vs 11 total strikes, 31 vs 6 significant strikes, 57.4% vs 15.8% accuracy. Frankie Edgar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:19 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 166 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Frankie Edgar controlled Mark Bocek on the ground with 2:19 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 056 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -20 |
Frankie Edgar demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Frankie Edgar capitalized on this activity level, while Mark Bocek's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Frankie Edgar extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mark Bocek is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Mark Bocek |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 042 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.