November 5, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 29 | 18 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 213 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +68 |
Marlon Vera overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (18 vs 29 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Frankie Edgar.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 191 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:50 | 3:50 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 355 | 1 451 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +96 |
Marlon Vera gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 94 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 155 | 164 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 138 | 110 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 185 | 1 390 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Frankie Edgar controlled the striking through superior volume (138 vs 110 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (94 vs 88). However, since Frankie Edgar lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Marlon Vera's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:25 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 412 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Marlon Vera landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 1 340 | 1 291 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +58 |
Marlon Vera demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Marlon Vera capitalized on this activity level, while Frankie Edgar's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 202 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Marlon Vera extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frankie Edgar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 125 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.