August 21, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 27 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 287 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Frankie Edgar's 13-fight experience advantage (27 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frankie Edgar for the expected result. Had Pedro Munhoz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 248 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 453 | 1 400 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Frankie Edgar receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 135 | 166 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 363 | 350 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 135 | 166 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 306 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Pedro Munhoz controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (166 vs 135 total strikes), significant strike advantage (166 vs 135), superior accuracy (47.4% vs 37.2%). However, since Pedro Munhoz lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Frankie Edgar's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:18 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 477 | 1 326 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Frankie Edgar edged out Pedro Munhoz on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:18 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 441 |
| Activity ELO | 1 397 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -13 |
Frankie Edgar demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Frankie Edgar capitalized on this activity level, while Pedro Munhoz's 441-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 254 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -15 |
Frankie Edgar started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pedro Munhoz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 174 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.