May 12, 2017
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 15 | -15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 347 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Frankie Edgar's 15-fight experience advantage (22 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frankie Edgar for the expected result. Had Yair Rodriguez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 301 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage | TKO - Doctor's Stoppage |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 562 | 1 315 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Frankie Edgar gained a finish with a TKO - Doctor's Stoppage in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 72 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 103 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 582 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Frankie Edgar dominated the striking exchanges with 96 vs 29 total strikes, 72 vs 16 significant strikes, 69.9% vs 38.1% accuracy. Frankie Edgar capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:26 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 69 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 648 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
Frankie Edgar controlled Yair Rodriguez on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 8:26 of control time, 69 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 182 | 118 |
| Activity ELO | 1 386 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -12 |
Frankie Edgar demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Frankie Edgar capitalized on this activity level, while Yair Rodriguez's 118-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 285 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -16 |
Frankie Edgar extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yair Rodriguez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frankie Edgar | Yair Rodriguez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 214 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.