January 17, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frankie Perez | Johnny Case |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 974 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Frankie Perez | Johnny Case |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frankie Perez | Johnny Case |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:54 | 1:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 966 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +69 |
Johnny Case gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Perez | Johnny Case |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 59 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 39 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 27 | 79 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 925 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Johnny Case dominated the striking exchanges with 79 vs 27 total strikes, 59 vs 16 significant strikes, 53.2% vs 41.0% accuracy. Johnny Case capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frankie Perez | Johnny Case |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:35 | 7:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 38 |
| Ground ELO | 910 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -90 | +90 |
Johnny Case dominated Frankie Perez on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 7:05 of control time, 38 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Perez | Johnny Case |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 121 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +40 |
Johnny Case demonstrated solid activity levels with 121 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johnny Case capitalized on this activity level, while Frankie Perez's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Perez | Johnny Case |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Johnny Case extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frankie Perez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frankie Perez | Johnny Case |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

