May 18, 2018
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Henry Briones |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 057 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Frankie Saenz's 3-fight experience advantage (8 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frankie Saenz for the expected result. Had Henry Briones pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Henry Briones |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 036 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Henry Briones |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 073 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Frankie Saenz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Henry Briones |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 104 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 84 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 854 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Frankie Saenz controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 58 total strikes, 66 vs 44 significant strikes, 55.0% vs 42.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Frankie Saenz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Henry Briones |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:10 | 0:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 142 | 842 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Frankie Saenz landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Henry Briones |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 076 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -16 |
Frankie Saenz demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Frankie Saenz capitalized on this activity level, while Henry Briones's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Henry Briones |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -17 |
Frankie Saenz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Henry Briones is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Henry Briones |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 036 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

