December 8, 2017
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 032 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Frankie Saenz's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frankie Saenz for the expected result. Had Merab Dvalishvili pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 040 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Frankie Saenz receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 106 | 118 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 104 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 991 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Merab Dvalishvili controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (104 vs 66 total strikes), significant strike advantage (47 vs 58), superior accuracy (39.8% vs 54.7%). However, since Merab Dvalishvili lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Frankie Saenz's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 11 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 23 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 7:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 105 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Frankie Saenz did not secure a significant ground advantage against Merab Dvalishvili on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:19 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 328 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 048 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Frankie Saenz demonstrated standard activity with 328 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Frankie Saenz capitalized on this activity level, while Merab Dvalishvili's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 033 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Frankie Saenz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Merab Dvalishvili is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

