Frankie Saenz vs Merab Dvalishvili

December 8, 2017

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1036
(+21)
Frankie Saenz
Winner: Frankie Saenz
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Frankie Saenz+21
Merab Dvalishvili-20
980
(-20)
Merab Dvalishvili

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Frankie Saenz: +31Merab Dvalishvili: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricFrankie SaenzMerab Dvalishvili
Total UFC Fights71
Experience Gap6-6
Experience ELO1 032969
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Frankie Saenz's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Frankie Saenz for the expected result. Had Merab Dvalishvili pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Frankie Saenz: +21Merab Dvalishvili: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricFrankie SaenzMerab Dvalishvili
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 018979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Frankie Saenz: +10Merab Dvalishvili: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricFrankie SaenzMerab Dvalishvili
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 040990
ELO Change+10-10
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Frankie Saenz receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Frankie Saenz: +26Merab Dvalishvili: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricFrankie SaenzMerab Dvalishvili
Significant Strikes Landed5847
Significant Strikes Attempted106118
Total Strikes Landed66104
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO991974
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Merab Dvalishvili controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (104 vs 66 total strikes), significant strike advantage (47 vs 58), superior accuracy (39.8% vs 54.7%). However, since Merab Dvalishvili lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Frankie Saenz's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Frankie Saenz: +16Merab Dvalishvili: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricFrankie SaenzMerab Dvalishvili
Takedowns Landed011
Takedowns Attempted323
Ground Control Time0:197:46
Ground Strikes Landed22
Ground ELO1 105984
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

Frankie Saenz did not secure a significant ground advantage against Merab Dvalishvili on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:19 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Frankie Saenz: +19Merab Dvalishvili: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricFrankie SaenzMerab Dvalishvili
Days Since Last Fight328N/A
Activity ELO1 048981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

Frankie Saenz demonstrated standard activity with 328 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Frankie Saenz capitalized on this activity level, while Merab Dvalishvili's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Frankie Saenz: +22Merab Dvalishvili: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricFrankie SaenzMerab Dvalishvili
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 033980
ELO Change+22-20
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What Happened

Frankie Saenz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Merab Dvalishvili is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Frankie Saenz: +21Merab Dvalishvili: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricFrankie SaenzMerab Dvalishvili
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 018979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.