December 11, 2015
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 077 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Urijah Faber's 9-fight experience advantage (13 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Urijah Faber for the expected result. Had Frankie Saenz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 091 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Urijah Faber earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 66 | 75 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 136 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 72 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 113 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Urijah Faber edged the striking exchanges with 75 vs 66 significant strikes, 67.6% vs 48.5% accuracy. Urijah Faber capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:01 | 1:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 191 | 1 397 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Urijah Faber edged out Frankie Saenz on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:54 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 078 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +16 |
Urijah Faber demonstrated standard activity with 211 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Urijah Faber capitalized on this activity level, while Frankie Saenz's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Urijah Faber started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Frankie Saenz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Frankie Saenz | Urijah Faber |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.