March 10, 1994
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fred Ettish | Johnny Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Fred Ettish | Johnny Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fred Ettish | Johnny Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:07 | 3:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 969 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +52 |
Johnny Rhodes earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Fred Ettish | Johnny Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 932 | 1 134 |
| ELO Change | -68 | +68 |
Johnny Rhodes controlled the striking exchanges with 13 vs 4 significant strikes, 44.8% vs 57.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Johnny Rhodes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fred Ettish | Johnny Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 912 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | -88 | +88 |
Johnny Rhodes dominated Fred Ettish on the ground with 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Fred Ettish | Johnny Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 1 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 218 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +197 |
Johnny Rhodes demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Johnny Rhodes capitalized on this activity level, while Fred Ettish's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fred Ettish | Johnny Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Johnny Rhodes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fred Ettish is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fred Ettish | Johnny Rhodes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

