December 16, 2016
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 982 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +40 |
Hector Sandoval overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Fredy Serrano.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 994 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 093 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Hector Sandoval earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -45 | +45 |
Hector Sandoval edged the striking exchanges with 42 vs 22 total strikes, 33 vs 22 significant strikes, 49.3% vs 25.3% accuracy. Hector Sandoval capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 2:40 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 981 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Hector Sandoval edged out Fredy Serrano on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 2:40 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 141 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +46 |
Hector Sandoval demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Hector Sandoval capitalized on this activity level, while Fredy Serrano's 141-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +26 |
Hector Sandoval started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fredy Serrano is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Hector Sandoval |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 994 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.