July 29, 2016
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Ryan Benoit |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 017 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Ryan Benoit |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Ryan Benoit |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 155 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Ryan Benoit receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Ryan Benoit |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 67 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 074 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Ryan Benoit controlled the striking exchanges with 45 vs 67 total strikes, 31 vs 22 significant strikes, 53.4% vs 36.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Ryan Benoit capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Ryan Benoit |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 14 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:59 | 1:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 027 | 878 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Ryan Benoit landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Ryan Benoit |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +31 |
Ryan Benoit demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ryan Benoit capitalized on this activity level, while Fredy Serrano's 245-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Ryan Benoit |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +27 |
Ryan Benoit started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Fredy Serrano is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Ryan Benoit |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.