November 27, 2015
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 053 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:44 | 0:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 169 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -32 |
Fredy Serrano secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:44 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 6 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 159 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Fredy Serrano slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 60.0% vs 16.7% accuracy. Fredy Serrano capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 059 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 046 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Fredy Serrano demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Fredy Serrano capitalized on this activity level, while Yao Zhikui's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Fredy Serrano extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yao Zhikui is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Fredy Serrano | Yao Zhikui |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.