February 12, 2021
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabe Green | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 013 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 016 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Gabe Green earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 86 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 128 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 089 | 889 |
| ELO Change | +111 | -111 |
Gabe Green dominated the striking exchanges with 128 vs 48 total strikes, 70 vs 42 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Gabe Green capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:13 | 5:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 032 | 919 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Gabe Green controlled Phil Rowe on the ground with 2 takedowns, 3:13 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 260 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 009 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -22 |
Gabe Green demonstrated standard activity with 260 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gabe Green capitalized on this activity level, while Phil Rowe's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Gabe Green started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Phil Rowe is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Phil Rowe |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.