April 29, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabe Green | Yohan Lainesse |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 043 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Gabe Green's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gabe Green for the expected result. Had Yohan Lainesse pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Yohan Lainesse |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Yohan Lainesse |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:02 | 4:02 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 098 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -40 |
Gabe Green gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Yohan Lainesse |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 48 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 123 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 133 | 956 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -44 |
Gabe Green slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 48 vs 41 significant strikes, 39.0% vs 51.2% accuracy. Gabe Green capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Yohan Lainesse |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:41 | 1:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 054 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Gabe Green did not secure a significant ground advantage against Yohan Lainesse on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:41 of control time, 8 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Yohan Lainesse |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 441 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -20 |
Gabe Green demonstrated extended layoff with 441 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Gabe Green capitalized on this activity level, while Yohan Lainesse's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Yohan Lainesse |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 030 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Gabe Green extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yohan Lainesse is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabe Green | Yohan Lainesse |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

