August 27, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 952 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Joe Lauzon's 6-fight experience advantage (8 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Joe Lauzon for the expected result. Had Gabe Ruediger pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 964 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:01 | 2:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 952 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +27 |
Joe Lauzon earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 19 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 8 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 866 | 1 169 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Joe Lauzon controlled the striking exchanges with 19 vs 1 significant strikes, 67.9% vs 12.5% accuracy. Joe Lauzon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 904 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Joe Lauzon dominated Gabe Ruediger on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:33 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 435 | 238 |
| Activity ELO | 968 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +17 |
Joe Lauzon demonstrated standard activity with 238 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Joe Lauzon capitalized on this activity level, while Gabe Ruediger's 1435-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 964 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +17 |
Joe Lauzon started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gabe Ruediger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Joe Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.