February 4, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 918 | 960 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Paul Taylor's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Taylor for the expected result. Had Gabe Ruediger pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 943 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:42 | 1:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 915 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +75 |
Paul Taylor gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 49 | 61 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 47 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 808 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Paul Taylor controlled the striking exchanges with 37 vs 17 significant strikes, 60.7% vs 34.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Paul Taylor capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:07 | 3:18 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 844 | 948 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Paul Taylor landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 949 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +47 |
Paul Taylor demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Paul Taylor capitalized on this activity level, while Gabe Ruediger's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 944 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +23 |
Paul Taylor started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gabe Ruediger is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabe Ruediger | Paul Taylor |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 942 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

