December 4, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriel Benitez | Justin Jaynes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 069 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Gabriel Benitez's 7-fight experience advantage (10 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gabriel Benitez for the expected result. Had Justin Jaynes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gabriel Benitez | Justin Jaynes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 034 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriel Benitez | Justin Jaynes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:06 | 4:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 210 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -34 |
Gabriel Benitez earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gabriel Benitez | Justin Jaynes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 104 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 171 | 954 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Gabriel Benitez controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 22 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gabriel Benitez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriel Benitez | Justin Jaynes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 122 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gabriel Benitez | Justin Jaynes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 207 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 073 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Gabriel Benitez demonstrated standard activity with 207 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gabriel Benitez capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Jaynes's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Benitez | Justin Jaynes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 048 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -19 |
Gabriel Benitez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Jaynes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriel Benitez | Justin Jaynes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 034 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.