February 15, 2025
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 177 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -36 |
Gabriel Bonfim overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Khaos Williams.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 071 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:58 | 4:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 288 | 1 368 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -68 |
Gabriel Bonfim earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:58, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Khaos Williams was submitted.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 90 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 098 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -62 |
Gabriel Bonfim controlled the striking exchanges with 35 vs 20 significant strikes, 48.6% vs 22.2% accuracy. Gabriel Bonfim capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:42 | 0:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 243 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -115 |
Gabriel Bonfim dominated Khaos Williams on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 1:42 of control time, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 274 |
| Activity ELO | 1 097 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -24 |
Gabriel Bonfim demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gabriel Bonfim capitalized on this activity level, while Khaos Williams's 274-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -24 |
Gabriel Bonfim extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Khaos Williams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Khaos Williams |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 071 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.