January 20, 2023
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Mounir Lazzez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 086 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Gabriel Bonfim overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mounir Lazzez.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Mounir Lazzez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Mounir Lazzez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:49 | 0:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 112 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | +112 | -52 |
Gabriel Bonfim locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:49 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Mounir Lazzez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 22 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 020 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Mounir Lazzez controlled the striking through superior accuracy (69.2% vs 40.9%). However, since Mounir Lazzez lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gabriel Bonfim's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Mounir Lazzez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 051 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Mounir Lazzez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 281 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Gabriel Bonfim demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Gabriel Bonfim capitalized on this activity level, while Mounir Lazzez's 281-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Mounir Lazzez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Gabriel Bonfim started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mounir Lazzez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Mounir Lazzez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.