November 14, 2008
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Josh Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 127 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Gabriel Gonzaga's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gabriel Gonzaga for the expected result. Had Josh Hendricks pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Josh Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 082 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Josh Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:01 | 1:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 265 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -18 |
Gabriel Gonzaga earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Josh Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 245 | 933 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Gabriel Gonzaga controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 1 significant strikes, 70.6% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gabriel Gonzaga capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Josh Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 266 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Josh Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 138 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -15 |
Gabriel Gonzaga demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gabriel Gonzaga capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Hendricks's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Josh Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 096 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Gabriel Gonzaga extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Hendricks is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Josh Hendricks |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 082 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

