Gabriel Gonzaga vs Josh Hendricks

November 14, 2008

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1163
(+30)
Gabriel Gonzaga
Winner: Gabriel Gonzaga
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:01

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gabriel Gonzaga+30
Josh Hendricks-24
976
(-24)
Josh Hendricks

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gabriel Gonzaga: +22Josh Hendricks: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricGabriel GonzagaJosh Hendricks
Total UFC Fights81
Experience Gap7-7
Experience ELO1 127978
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gabriel Gonzaga for the expected result. Had Josh Hendricks pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gabriel Gonzaga: +17Josh Hendricks: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricGabriel GonzagaJosh Hendricks
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 082983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gabriel Gonzaga: +44Josh Hendricks: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricGabriel GonzagaJosh Hendricks
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:011:01
Win Type ELO1 265982
ELO Change+44-18
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What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gabriel Gonzaga: +67Josh Hendricks: -67

Performance Statistics

MetricGabriel GonzagaJosh Hendricks
Significant Strikes Landed121
Significant Strikes Attempted175
Total Strikes Landed126
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 245933
ELO Change+67-67
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 1 significant strikes, 70.6% vs 20.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gabriel Gonzaga capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gabriel Gonzaga: +21Josh Hendricks: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricGabriel GonzagaJosh Hendricks
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:040:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 266979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gabriel Gonzaga: +29Josh Hendricks: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricGabriel GonzagaJosh Hendricks
Days Since Last Fight134N/A
Activity ELO1 138985
ELO Change+29-15
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gabriel Gonzaga capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Hendricks's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gabriel Gonzaga: +20Josh Hendricks: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricGabriel GonzagaJosh Hendricks
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 096984
ELO Change+20-16
💡

What Happened

Gabriel Gonzaga extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Hendricks is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gabriel Gonzaga: +17Josh Hendricks: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricGabriel GonzagaJosh Hendricks
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 082983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.