March 20, 2010
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 088 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +39 |
Junior Dos Santos overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gabriel Gonzaga.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:53 | 3:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 222 | 1 391 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +75 |
Junior Dos Santos earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:53, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 176 | 1 423 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Junior Dos Santos controlled the striking exchanges with 20 vs 9 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 47.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 190 | 1 229 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Junior Dos Santos landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 205 | 78 |
| Activity ELO | 1 116 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +65 |
Junior Dos Santos demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 78 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Junior Dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Gabriel Gonzaga's 205-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 069 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +39 |
Junior Dos Santos continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Gabriel Gonzaga's now at 0.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 055 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.