December 10, 2015
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Konstantin Erokhin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 19 | -19 |
| Experience ELO | 1 056 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Gabriel Gonzaga's 19-fight experience advantage (21 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gabriel Gonzaga for the expected result. Had Konstantin Erokhin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Konstantin Erokhin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 035 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Konstantin Erokhin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 237 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Gabriel Gonzaga earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Konstantin Erokhin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 45 | 51 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 064 | 923 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Gabriel Gonzaga slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 20 vs 15 significant strikes, 44.4% vs 29.4% accuracy. Gabriel Gonzaga capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Konstantin Erokhin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:00 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 142 | 865 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Gabriel Gonzaga controlled Konstantin Erokhin on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:00 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Konstantin Erokhin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 321 |
| Activity ELO | 1 130 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -13 |
Gabriel Gonzaga demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gabriel Gonzaga capitalized on this activity level, while Konstantin Erokhin's 321-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Konstantin Erokhin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 057 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Gabriel Gonzaga started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Konstantin Erokhin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Konstantin Erokhin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 035 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.