December 12, 2014
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 069 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +42 |
Matt Mitrione overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gabriel Gonzaga.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:59 | 1:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 287 | 1 466 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +84 |
Matt Mitrione earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 123 | 1 364 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Matt Mitrione controlled the striking exchanges with 12 vs 6 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Matt Mitrione capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 143 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Matt Mitrione landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 322 | 100 |
| Activity ELO | 1 142 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +50 |
Matt Mitrione demonstrated solid activity levels with 100 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Mitrione capitalized on this activity level, while Gabriel Gonzaga's 322-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Matt Mitrione extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gabriel Gonzaga is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Matt Mitrione |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.