April 10, 2015
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 9 | -9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +62 |
Mirko Filipovic overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gabriel Gonzaga.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 016 | 998 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:30 | 3:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 222 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +129 |
Mirko Filipovic gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 32 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 046 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -77 | +77 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Gabriel Gonzaga lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Mirko Filipovic's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:37 | 1:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 12 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 110 | 988 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Mirko Filipovic did not secure a significant ground advantage against Gabriel Gonzaga on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:00 of control time, 16 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 1 260 |
| Activity ELO | 1 114 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +25 |
Mirko Filipovic demonstrated extended layoff with 1260 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Mirko Filipovic capitalized on this activity level, while Gabriel Gonzaga's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 038 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +28 |
Mirko Filipovic started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gabriel Gonzaga is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Mirko Filipovic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 016 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.