October 18, 2013
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 128 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Gabriel Gonzaga's 12-fight experience advantage (17 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gabriel Gonzaga for the expected result. Had Shawn Jordan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 083 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:33 | 1:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 379 | 1 244 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -43 |
Gabriel Gonzaga earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:33, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 8 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 251 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +172 | -172 |
Gabriel Gonzaga controlled the striking exchanges with 8 vs 2 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 28.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gabriel Gonzaga capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 286 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 186 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +44 | -18 |
Gabriel Gonzaga demonstrated solid activity levels with 105 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gabriel Gonzaga capitalized on this activity level, while Shawn Jordan's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 106 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -20 |
Gabriel Gonzaga extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shawn Jordan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Shawn Jordan |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 083 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.