January 24, 2014
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 12 | -12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +53 |
Stipe Miocic overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Gabriel Gonzaga.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 322 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Stipe Miocic earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 63 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 187 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 77 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 203 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Stipe Miocic controlled the striking exchanges with 77 vs 33 total strikes, 63 vs 29 significant strikes. Stipe Miocic capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 2:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 1 210 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Stipe Miocic controlled Gabriel Gonzaga on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:05 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 162 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Stipe Miocic demonstrated standard activity with 225 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Stipe Miocic capitalized on this activity level, while Gabriel Gonzaga's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 083 | 1 108 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Stipe Miocic extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gabriel Gonzaga is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriel Gonzaga | Stipe Miocic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.