February 24, 2023
Women's Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Jasmine Jasudavicius |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jasmine Jasudavicius for the expected result. Had Gabriella Fernandes pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Jasmine Jasudavicius |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Jasmine Jasudavicius |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Jasmine Jasudavicius |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 56 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 149 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 963 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius dominated the striking exchanges with 149 vs 54 total strikes. Jasmine Jasudavicius capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Jasmine Jasudavicius |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 11:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 906 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -94 | +94 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius dominated Gabriella Fernandes on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 11:31 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Jasmine Jasudavicius |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jasmine Jasudavicius capitalized on this activity level, while Gabriella Fernandes's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Jasmine Jasudavicius |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gabriella Fernandes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Jasmine Jasudavicius |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.