June 16, 2023
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 946 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 917 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Tereza Bleda earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 47 | 181 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 903 | 968 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Tereza Bleda dominated the striking exchanges with 181 vs 47 total strikes, 57 vs 23 significant strikes, 57.6% vs 48.9% accuracy. Tereza Bleda capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:10 | 10:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 33 |
| Ground ELO | 833 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Tereza Bleda dominated Gabriella Fernandes on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 10:51 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Tereza Bleda demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tereza Bleda capitalized on this activity level, while Gabriella Fernandes's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Tereza Bleda started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gabriella Fernandes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Tereza Bleda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.