November 23, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Wang Cong |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 020 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Gabriella Fernandes's 2-fight experience advantage (4 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gabriella Fernandes for the expected result. Had Wang Cong pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Wang Cong |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Wang Cong |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:49 | 3:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 023 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -60 |
Gabriella Fernandes earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:49, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Wang Cong was submitted.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Wang Cong |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 59 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 005 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Wang Cong controlled the striking through superior volume (48 vs 19 total strikes), significant strike advantage (46 vs 18), superior accuracy (41.4% vs 30.5%). However, since Wang Cong lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gabriella Fernandes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Wang Cong |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:28 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 946 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Wang Cong |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -23 |
Gabriella Fernandes demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gabriella Fernandes capitalized on this activity level, while Wang Cong's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Wang Cong |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 012 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Gabriella Fernandes extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wang Cong is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gabriella Fernandes | Wang Cong |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
