Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Paul Craig

July 24, 2020

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

993
(-26)
Gadzhimurad Antigulov
Winner: Paul Craig
Submission
Round 1 • 2:06

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Gadzhimurad Antigulov-26
Paul Craig+31
1070
(+31)
Paul Craig

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Gadzhimurad Antigulov: -32Paul Craig: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricGadzhimurad AntigulovPaul Craig
Total UFC Fights510
Experience Gap-55
Experience ELO1 0071 062
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig's 5-fight experience advantage (10 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Craig for the expected result. Had Gadzhimurad Antigulov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Gadzhimurad Antigulov: -20Paul Craig: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricGadzhimurad AntigulovPaul Craig
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 029
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Gadzhimurad Antigulov: -42Paul Craig: +74

Performance Statistics

MetricGadzhimurad AntigulovPaul Craig
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish2:062:06
Win Type ELO1 0531 167
ELO Change-42+74
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Gadzhimurad Antigulov: -15Paul Craig: +15

Performance Statistics

MetricGadzhimurad AntigulovPaul Craig
Significant Strikes Landed112
Significant Strikes Attempted165
Total Strikes Landed164
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO8951 025
ELO Change-15+15
💡

What Happened

Gadzhimurad Antigulov controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (11 vs 2), superior accuracy (68.8% vs 40.0%). However, since Gadzhimurad Antigulov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Paul Craig's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Gadzhimurad Antigulov: -44Paul Craig: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricGadzhimurad AntigulovPaul Craig
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time1:410:00
Ground Strikes Landed100
Ground ELO1 0401 110
ELO Change-44+44
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig edged out Gadzhimurad Antigulov on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Gadzhimurad Antigulov: -17Paul Craig: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricGadzhimurad AntigulovPaul Craig
Days Since Last Fight462252
Activity ELO1 0021 103
ELO Change-17+22
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Paul Craig capitalized on this activity level, while Gadzhimurad Antigulov's 462-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Gadzhimurad Antigulov: -20Paul Craig: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricGadzhimurad AntigulovPaul Craig
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9861 039
ELO Change-20+22
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What Happened

Paul Craig started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gadzhimurad Antigulov is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Gadzhimurad Antigulov: -21Paul Craig: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricGadzhimurad AntigulovPaul Craig
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9781 028
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.