January 19, 2021
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gaetano Pirrello | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Ricky Simon's 6-fight experience advantage (7 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ricky Simon for the expected result. Had Gaetano Pirrello pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gaetano Pirrello | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gaetano Pirrello | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:00 | 4:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 971 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +44 |
Ricky Simon earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:00, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Gaetano Pirrello was submitted.
| Metric | Gaetano Pirrello | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 14 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 10 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 957 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Ricky Simon controlled the striking exchanges with 50 vs 10 total strikes, 17 vs 6 significant strikes, 53.1% vs 42.9% accuracy. Ricky Simon capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gaetano Pirrello | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 6:59 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 946 | 1 395 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Ricky Simon dominated Gaetano Pirrello on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 6:59 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Gaetano Pirrello | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 986 | 1 138 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +18 |
Ricky Simon demonstrated standard activity with 253 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Ricky Simon capitalized on this activity level, while Gaetano Pirrello's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gaetano Pirrello | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +20 |
Ricky Simon extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gaetano Pirrello is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gaetano Pirrello | Ricky Simon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

