September 26, 2002
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gan McGee | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -47 |
Gan McGee overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Pedro Rizzo.
| Metric | Gan McGee | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gan McGee | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 121 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | +163 | -76 |
Gan McGee earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 5:00, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gan McGee | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 036 | 1 203 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -104 |
Gan McGee slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 29.3% vs 50.0% accuracy. Gan McGee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gan McGee | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:11 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 999 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gan McGee | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 679 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 011 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -35 |
Gan McGee demonstrated extended layoff with 679 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Gan McGee capitalized on this activity level, while Pedro Rizzo's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gan McGee | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -29 |
Gan McGee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Pedro Rizzo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gan McGee | Pedro Rizzo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.