May 7, 2016
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Garreth McLellan | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 986 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Magnus Cedenblad's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Magnus Cedenblad for the expected result. Had Garreth McLellan pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Garreth McLellan | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Garreth McLellan | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:47 | 0:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 021 | 1 211 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +63 |
Magnus Cedenblad gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Garreth McLellan | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 44 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 12 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 967 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -109 | +109 |
Magnus Cedenblad controlled the striking exchanges with 21 vs 12 significant strikes, 47.7% vs 36.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Magnus Cedenblad capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Garreth McLellan | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 005 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Garreth McLellan | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 582 |
| Activity ELO | 989 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +16 |
Magnus Cedenblad demonstrated extended layoff with 582 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Magnus Cedenblad capitalized on this activity level, while Garreth McLellan's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Garreth McLellan | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +25 |
Magnus Cedenblad extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Garreth McLellan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Garreth McLellan | Magnus Cedenblad |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

