July 11, 1996
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gary Goodridge | John Campetella |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 991 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Gary Goodridge's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gary Goodridge for the expected result. Had John Campetella pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gary Goodridge | John Campetella |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gary Goodridge | John Campetella |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:28 | 1:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 201 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -26 |
Gary Goodridge earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:28, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Gary Goodridge | John Campetella |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 7 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 8 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 013 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Gary Goodridge slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 83.3% vs 71.4% accuracy. Gary Goodridge capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gary Goodridge | John Campetella |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 024 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +58 | -58 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Gary Goodridge | John Campetella |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 56 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 233 | 989 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -11 |
Gary Goodridge demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Gary Goodridge capitalized on this activity level, while John Campetella's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gary Goodridge | John Campetella |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Gary Goodridge started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Campetella is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gary Goodridge | John Campetella |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
