January 31, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 965 | 993 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Neil Magny's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Gasan Umalatov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 954 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Neil Magny earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 34 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 76 | 218 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 105 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 953 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Neil Magny dominated the striking exchanges with 105 vs 38 total strikes, 71 vs 34 significant strikes, 32.6% vs 44.7% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:16 | 2:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 964 | 941 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Neil Magny did not secure a significant ground advantage against Gasan Umalatov on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:43 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 87 |
| Activity ELO | 978 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +66 |
Neil Magny demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 87 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Gasan Umalatov's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 978 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Neil Magny started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Gasan Umalatov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

