May 30, 2014
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 024 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -35 |
Gasan Umalatov overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paulo Thiago.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 011 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Gasan Umalatov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 42 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 972 | 906 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Paulo Thiago controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (42 vs 24). However, since Paulo Thiago lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gasan Umalatov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:00 | 0:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 001 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Gasan Umalatov edged out Paulo Thiago on the ground with 1 takedown, 4:00 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 046 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -27 |
Gasan Umalatov demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Gasan Umalatov capitalized on this activity level, while Paulo Thiago's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Gasan Umalatov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paulo Thiago is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Gasan Umalatov | Paulo Thiago |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.